虽然接近年底一些国际投行发表对铝市2007年的观点呈现偏空,但我们认为基于以下的客观事实,2007年春节之前铝市易涨难跌,伦铝的挤仓将为沪铝上涨给予动力。一、虽对2007年铝市供应的增大存在担忧,但2006年全球铝供需关系仍为紧平衡,且可预期这一趋向至少延续至2007年第一季度。 Although nearing the end of the year, some international investment banks released their views on the aluminum market in 2007, showing a bearish trend. However, we think that based on the following objective facts, the aluminum market is easy to rise and fall before the Spring Festival in 2007 and the Lun Lun aluminum extrusion will power the aluminum Shanghai . First, although there is concern about the increase in the supply of aluminum in 2007, the global aluminum supply and demand in 2006 remains in a tight balance and this trend can be expected to extend to at least the first quarter of 2007.