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用天然气合成油(GTL)生产的基础油可能会在4年的时间内进入润滑油市场。但是,这颗新星的市场究竟有多大还有待观察。 经过10年、耗资10亿多美元的研究和开发,大家越来越相信,在未来的10年中将会出现第一个商业性的GTL工厂,GTL基础油也将会得到逐步推广。这主要有两方面的因素:第一,处于偏远地区的难以大规模开发的天然气储量越来越多,迫切需要得到很好利用。第二,对汽车尾气排放的限制越来越严格,这使得基础油的市场有限,即使需要增加在成本上更具竞争力。
Base oils from natural gas synthetic (GTL) may enter the lubricant market in four years. However, how big the market for this new star is yet to be seen. After 10 years of research and development costing more than $ 1 billion, we are increasingly convinced that the first commercial GTL plant will emerge in the next 10 years and the GTL base oil will also be gradually rolled out. There are two main reasons for this: First, there are more and more gas reserves that are difficult to be exploited in large scale in remote areas and there is an urgent need to make good use of them. Second, the restrictions on vehicle exhaust emissions are becoming more stringent, making the market for base oils limited, even if cost increases are required.