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[目的]分析昆山市2006~2013年胰腺癌发病与死亡趋势。[方法]胰腺癌发病资料来源于昆山市恶性肿瘤登记报告系统;死亡病例资料来源于人口死亡信息登记管理系统;计算胰腺癌粗发病(死亡)率与中国人口年龄标化发病(死亡)率(中标率);使用平均年度变化百分比(annual change percent,APC)评价胰腺癌发病率和死亡率在年份之间变化趋势。[结果]昆山市2006~2013年胰腺癌发病总例数744例,男性发病率明显高于女性。发病率历年有所波动,但未能发现有明显变化趋势,男性APC=2.9%(95%CI:-4.2%~10.6%),女性APC=5.7%(95%CI:-1.8%~13.6%)。昆山市2006~2013年胰腺癌死亡总例数705例,胰腺癌男性死亡率明显高于女性。男性(APC=1.3%,95%CI:-3.0%~5.8%)、女性(APC=-1.2%,95%CI:-11.5%~10.4%)均未能发现胰腺癌粗死亡率呈现明显趋势变化。[结论 ]昆山市胰腺癌发病与死亡率水平较高,当前仍需加强疾病监测以探究其长期变化趋势。
[Objective] To analyze the incidence and mortality of pancreatic cancer in Kunshan from 2006 to 2013. [Methods] The incidence of pancreatic cancer was from Kunshan Malignant Tumor Registry System. The death data were from the death registration system. The incidence of pancreatic cancer (death) Winning rate), and using annual change percent (APC) to evaluate the trend of year between pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality. [Results] The total number of cases of pancreatic cancer in Kunshan from 2006 to 2013 was 744, the incidence of male was significantly higher than that of female. The incidence rate fluctuated over the years, but no obvious trend was found. The APC was 2.9% (95% CI: -4.2% ~ 10.6%) in men and 5.7% (95% CI: -1.8% ~ 13.6% ). The total number of deaths from pancreatic cancer in Kunshan from 2006 to 2013 was 705 cases. The male mortality rate in pancreatic cancer was significantly higher than that in women. Pancreatic cancer showed a significant trend of crude mortality in men (APC = 1.3%, 95% CI: -3.0% -5.8%) and women (APC = -1.2%, 95% CI: -11.5% -10.4% Variety. [Conclusion] There is a high incidence and mortality rate of pancreatic cancer in Kunshan City. Currently, it is still necessary to strengthen disease surveillance to explore its long-term trend of change.