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经济突飞猛进的社会对交通系统提出了严峻的考验,从地面交通到空中交通无一不面临着运量承载能力与实际运量需求的矛盾。而航班延误由于其高成本的特性往往要求其反应时间更快,运营效率更高,同时又要保证航空公司的利润,因此近年来,越来越多的目光投向了如何及时应对航班延误这一问题上。本文通过研究引起航班中断的因素和航班中断产生的蝴蝶效应,展现了民航中断因素产生的不确定性、难预测性及其影响的易扩大性,试图用增添“备用机组”的方法完善民航应对中断的反应机制,意在提高民航运营效率,降低中断影响的基础上,压低航空公司的运营成本。
Rapid economic growth poses a severe test on the transportation system. From ground transportation to air traffic, both are facing the contradiction between the carrying capacity of carrying capacity and the actual carrying capacity. Flight delays, due to their high cost characteristics, often require faster reaction times and higher operational efficiencies while maintaining airline profits, so in recent years more and more attention has been devoted to timely response to flight delays Question By studying the causes of flight interruption and the butterfly effect caused by flight interruption, this paper shows the uncertainties, unpredictability and easy expansion of civil aviation interruption factors, and attempts to perfect it with the addition of “spare units” Civil aviation response to interruption mechanism, intended to improve the efficiency of civil aviation operations, reduce the impact of interruption based on the lower operating costs of airlines.