预测明年(或下周)的iPad会是什么样就已经够难了,要想知道150年后计算机大概长什么样几乎是不可能的,150年对技术发展而言如永恒般漫长。不过,技术先知、计算机先驱和研究人员在有关未来的问题上向来以大胆奔放著称,所以我们想问问也没什么坏处。就从这个问题开始吧,在遥远的将来还会有计算机存在吗?“未来肯定还是有计算机,”牛津大学纳米技术“祭司”埃里克·德雷克斯勒(Eric Drexler)如是说,“那时的计算机是比汽车轮子还要根本的工具”。但是以预测为生的斯图尔特·布兰德(Stewart Brand)却拒绝预言未来计算机的样子,哪怕推测一下也不干。“也许因为我是个专业的未来学家(futurist),我知道对未来进行精确的预言到头来通常难逃后人的 It is almost impossible to predict what the iPad will look like next year (or next week), and it will be almost impossible to see what a computer might look like in 150 years, 150 years will last forever. However, technological prophets, computer pioneers, and researchers have always been bold and forthright about future issues, so we wanted to ask no harm. Start with this question, will there be computers in the distant future? ”“ Computers in the future are certainly certain, ”“ Oxford University Nanotechnology, ”“ Priest, ”Eric Drexler, So to speak, “computers at that time were more fundamental tools than car wheels.” But predictive living, Stewart Brand, declined to predict the future of computers, even if speculative. "Maybe because I'm a professional futurist, I know that predicting the future is often impossible to escape