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针对阜新市产业结构调整问题,运用ADF单位根检验和格兰杰因果关系检验,认为阜新市产业结构变动是就业结构变动的格兰杰原因。第一产业产值的增加可以带动就业,但就业结构“非农”进程缓慢;第二产业发展具有较大的发展空间和吸纳就业的能力;第三产业劳动力市场已经饱和。研究结果为阜新市产业结构调整提供参考。
Aiming at the adjustment of industrial structure in Fuxin City, using the unit root test of ADF and the test of Granger causality, it is concluded that the change of industrial structure in Fuxin is the Granger reason for the change of employment structure. The increase in output value of the primary industry can drive employment, but the employment structure and the process of “non-farm payrolls” are slow; the development of the secondary industry has greater space for development and employment; the labor market in the tertiary industry is already saturated. The results provide a reference for industrial structure adjustment in Fuxin City.