论文部分内容阅读
生猪价格的周期性波动所导致的生产领域及消费领域一系列的连锁反应,受到社会各界的普遍关注。本文通过对2000年以来各个月份生猪价格的比较分析,发现近年来生猪价格总体呈现波动上升、波动周期变短、波幅变大的趋势,而导致这些现象的主要原因在于生猪养殖模式的分散化、养殖成本的变动、市场需求的变动及疫病的发生等。本文认为,应通过大力发展生猪专业养殖合作社、加快推广生猪“订单养殖”模式、鼓励大型企业集团发展生猪“产、加、销”一体化经营等具体措施调节生猪供求,稳定生猪价格。
The cyclical fluctuations in hog prices caused a series of chain reactions in the field of production and consumption, which have drawn widespread public concern. In this paper, a comparative analysis of the hog prices in different months since 2000 shows that the hog prices in recent years show an overall trend of rising volatility, decreasing volatility and increasing volatility. The main reason for these phenomena is the decentralization of pig breeding patterns, Breeding cost changes, changes in market demand and the occurrence of epidemics. This paper argues that specific measures should be taken to adjust the supply and demand of pigs and stabilize the pigs by vigorously developing the specialized pig breeding cooperatives, accelerating the promotion of the pig “order breeding ” model and encouraging the development of pigs in large enterprises groups "integrated production, marketing and sales price.