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综合考虑到入境旅游发展研究的分析指标,采用31个各省区市的入境旅游外汇收入、接待人数、面积,构建消除面积影响的区位熵指标,运用空间自相关、自然断点法和泰勒指数等方法,研究了1995~2011年我国各省区市入境旅游发展差异的时空变化状况。研究表明:①我国入境旅游经济发展水平总体空间关系表现为正相关,空间分布由离散向集聚发展,总体趋势在16年的增幅为59.1%;②入境旅游发展总体空间差异在缩小,区域内部省际差异中发达区差距缩减率达到83%,发展区内部差异还是比较稳定,落后区波动下降到46.4%;入境旅游发展省际差异下降幅度为60.3%;发达区、发展区与落后区之间入境旅游经济发展的差异缩减率为48.7%;③在扩散与极化共同作用下发展下,空间格局呈分散—集聚—扩散演变过程;入境旅游经济发展差异与区域经济差异变化特征相接近,东部地区经济优势对入境旅游发展影响较大。
Considering the analysis index of inbound tourism development research, we use the inbound tourism foreign exchange income, reception number and area of 31 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities to construct the location entropy index to eliminate the impact of area, using spatial autocorrelation, natural breakpoint method and Taylor index Method to study the spatial and temporal changes of the differences in the development of inbound tourism in all provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities from 1995 to 2011 in China. The results show that: ①The overall spatial relationship of inbound tourism economic development in our country shows positive correlation, the spatial distribution changes from discrete to agglomeration, and the overall trend increases 59.1% in 16 years; ②The overall spatial difference of inbound tourism development is narrowing, The difference between developed regions in the international disparity is 83%. The internal differences in the development zones are still relatively stable. The fluctuation in the backward regions is reduced to 46.4%. The provincial differences in the development of inbound tourism are reduced by 60.3%. Between the developed regions, the development regions and the backward regions The rate of reduction of the inbound tourism economic development is 48.7%; (3) under the development of the combination of proliferation and polarization, the spatial pattern shows the evolution of decentralization, agglomeration and diffusion; the difference of economic development between inbound tourism and that of the regional economy is close to that of the east Regional economic advantages have a great impact on the development of inbound tourism.