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本文讨论了 Tselentis 和 Melis(1996)提出的震中位置容限依赖于震级这一引起人们兴趣的建议。Tselentis 和 Melis 把 Mulargia 和 Gasperini(1992)的过程应用到完善的地震预报方法中,这种方法预报1983～1985年发生在36～41°N,19～25°E 区域内 M_s≥5.3全部17个地震获得了成功。他们的应用清楚地显示出 Mulargia 和 Gasperini(1992)过程是有问题的。在本篇答复中,我们也给出一个精确的统计例子,这个例子说明了 Mulargia 和 Gasperini(1992)的过程是怎样严重地违反泊松限制,因而导致了不能接受的结果。
This paper discusses the intriguing suggestions that the epicenter position tolerance proposed by Tselentis and Melis (1996) depends on magnitude. Tselentis and Melis applied the Mulargia and Gasperini (1992) process to a well-developed method of seismic prediction that predicts all 17 of M_s ≧ 5.3 within the range of 36 to 41 ° N and 19 to 25 ° E from 1983 to 1985 The earthquake was a success. Their application clearly shows that Mulargia and Gasperini (1992) processes are problematic. In this reply, we also give an accurate statistical example of how the process of Mulargia and Gasperini (1992) seriously violated the Poisson restrictions, leading to unacceptable results.