近几年来,凡是两岸关系出现紧张的时候,就有人担心两岸的经贸交流是否会冷却甚至停顿。这种担心,可以理解,不过同时也提出了一个问题:到底应该怎样认识和把握两岸经贸关系的发展趋势? 笔者认为,两岸经贸关系,既不会走走停停,更不会日益滑坡,不可逆转乃是其必然趋势。因为在一个相当长的时期内,有三个经常交错起作用的因素,或者是三股力量,决定着台湾不大可能切断也不会减缓与大陆的经济贸易关系。 国际推力不容忽视 当今,世界上许多国家都在集中精力从事经济建设,全球经济普遍有所增长。在激烈的国际竞争和区域经济体增多的形势面前,为了提高自身产品的竞争力,首先必须千方百计降低生产成本;劳动力价值是构成成本的重要内容,而在这方面,大陆占有绝对优势。据报道,目前大陆一般劳动者的月 In recent years, when cross-Strait relations have been tense, some people worry whether the economic and trade exchanges between the two sides of the Strait will be cooled or even stopped. This kind of worry can be understood, but at the same time it also raises a question: How should we understand and grasp the development trend of cross-Strait economic and trade relations in the end? In my opinion, the cross-Strait economic and trade relations will neither walk nor stop, but will not decline steadily. Reversal is its inevitable trend. This is because for a fairly long period of time, there are three factors that are often interlaced or three forces that determine that Taiwan is unlikely to cut off or slow down its economic and trade relations with the Mainland. International thrust can not be ignored Today, many countries in the world are concentrating their efforts on economic construction and their global economy generally grows. In the face of fierce international competition and the increase of regional economies, in order to improve the competitiveness of their products, we must first of all try to reduce production costs. The value of labor force is an important part of the cost. In this regard, the mainland occupies an absolute superiority. It is reported that the current month of the general workforce in mainland China