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目的分析泰安市手足口病的发病状况,探讨气温因素对于其发病的影响。方法收集并整理从2008~2013年泰安市手足口病的数据和气象数据,并且利用时间序列分析法分析手足口病例发病率之间的联系。结果 2008~2013年,泰安市共报告新发手足口病病例39 497例,其中男性24 210例(占61.30%),女性15 287例(占38.70%),男性的发病率为143.14/10万,女性的发病率为92.60/10万(P<0.01)。日发病例数随着日平均气温的升高而呈现上升的趋势(P<0.01),日平均气温25℃时,发病例数出现高峰。5~7月是手足口病的发病高峰期。结论手足口病发病率的增加与日平均气温的增加相关,0~8岁是高发年龄段。
Objective To analyze the incidence of hand-foot-mouth disease in Tai’an and to explore the influence of temperature on its incidence. Methods Data and meteorological data of hand, foot and mouth disease in Tai’an City from 2008 to 2013 were collected and analyzed, and the relationship between the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease was analyzed by time series analysis. Results From 2008 to 2013, a total of 39 497 new cases of HFMD were reported in Tai’an City, including 24 210 males (61.30%) and 15 287 females (38.70%), with a male incidence of 143.14 per 100 000 The incidence of women was 92.60 / 100 000 (P <0.01). The daily number of cases showed an upward trend with the increase of the average daily temperature (P <0.01). When the average daily temperature was 25 ℃, the number of cases showed a peak. May to July is the peak incidence of HFMD. Conclusion The increase of HFMD incidence is related to the increase of average daily temperature. The age of 0-8 years is the high incidence age.