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住房政策“鼓励住房消费需求、抑制投资投机需求”为中国学术界提出了新的课题,如何界定住房消费、投资投机需求,以及如何做到鼓励住房消费需求的同时,又做到抑制投资投机需求,成为关系该政策成败亟待解决的理论问题.然而,现有的关于住房消费需求与投资需求的文献,大部分关注于家庭人口统计变量,缺乏可控制性与政策指导意义.本文首次将一系列的经济预期变量引入到住房需求分析中,提出财富收益完全消费的假定,得出以消费效用表达投资间接效用的代数式,使得住房投资需求的分析更加完善.应用静态比较分析,得出住房需求与家庭经济状况、经济预期等变量之间正负相关性的判断,为实证分析提供了严谨的理论分析基础.
Housing policy “Encouraging demand for housing consumption and curbing investment speculation ” put forward new issues for Chinese academia, how to define housing consumption and investment speculation needs, and how to encourage housing consumption demand while suppressing investment However, the existing literature on housing consumption demand and investment demand mostly focuses on household demographic variables, which lacks controllability and policy guidance. For the first time, A series of economic expectation variables are introduced into the housing demand analysis, and the assumption of the complete consumption of wealth is proposed, and the algebraic expression of the indirect utility of investment is obtained through consumption utility, which makes the analysis of housing investment demand more perfect.Using static comparative analysis, The positive and negative correlations between the demand and the economic status of the family and the expected economic variables provide a rigorous theoretical basis for the empirical analysis.