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“茉莉花革命”后,突尼斯政治上实现了较为平稳的过渡,经济上却未能取得符合民众期望的进步。究其原因,极端组织的恐怖袭击的确打击了工业投资的信心,但突尼斯经济结构和体制方面的弊端也限制了经济活力以及就业机会。同时,政府迟迟未能推出振兴国民经济改善就业的发展规划,政党关系的起伏一定程度上影响了政府的工作效率。但是,突尼斯地理位置优越,得到世界银行、国际货币基金组织、欧盟及其成员国、非洲开发银行等较大力度的支持。如能保持社会稳定,积极改革银行体系和税收体系,为外国投资创造良好环境,同时注意发展与中国等新兴国家的经贸关系,则其2016—2020五年计划期间的经济增长仍有机遇。
After the “Jasmine Revolution,” Tunisia has achieved a relatively smooth political transition and has failed economically to make progress that meets people’s expectations. The reason is that terrorist attacks by extremist organizations have indeed dampened the confidence of industrial investment, but the drawbacks of Tunisia’s economic structure and institutions have also limited the economic vitality and employment opportunities. At the same time, the government has been slow to launch plans for the revitalization of the national economy to improve employment. The ups and downs of the party relations have, to some extent, affected the efficiency of the government. However, Tunisia is well-located and enjoys greater support from the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund, the EU and its member states, and the African Development Bank. If we can maintain social stability, actively reform the banking system and taxation system, create a favorable environment for foreign investment and pay attention to developing economic and trade relations with emerging countries such as China, there will still be opportunities for economic growth during the 2016-2020 five-year plan period.