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农村儿童辍学一直是影响我国基础教育发展的最大障碍,免费政策的实施对儿童辍学的影响并不明显。利用来自西部3省9县儿童和家长的数据,研究发现,儿童入学年龄越大,辍学的可能性就越大;少数民族相对汉族儿童更容易辍学。母亲受教育年限、兄弟姐妹个数、学习用品数量对儿童辍学的影响较为明显,其中学业成绩是影响儿童辍学最为主要的因素,家庭经济可能是影响儿童辍学的重要潜在变量,上学距离对儿童辍学的影响并不明显,过早寄宿会增加儿童辍学的风险。
Dropping out of school in rural areas has always been the biggest obstacle to the development of basic education in our country. The impact of the implementation of free policies on children dropping out of school is not obvious. Using data from 9 children and their parents in 9 counties in 3 western provinces, the study found that the older children are, the more likely they are to drop out of school. Ethnic minorities are more likely to drop out of school than Han children. The influence of mothers’ number of years of education, number of siblings and number of school supplies on children dropping out of school is obvious. Among them, academic achievement is the most important factor that affects children dropping out of school. The family economy may be an important potential variable that affects children dropping out of school. The impact is not obvious, premature boarding will increase the risk of children dropping out of school.