预测概要最近一个季度以来,居民住房建设市场已经下陷,据RISI预测这种情况将会持续到2008年第3季度。但是,到今年年底为止,居民住房建设将会持续稳定,2009年将会略有上升。我们预计这种反弹将会缓慢积聚动力。之所以作出住宅供给恢复的预测是基于购买能力提高、新建住宅总量下降、抵押市场信贷条件的放松(虽然 Forecast Summary The residential construction market has been sunk in the most recent quarter, and RISI projects that this will continue into the third quarter of 2008. However, by the end of this year, residential building construction will continue to be stable, with a slight increase in 2009. We expect this rebound will slowly accumulate momentum. The reason why housing supply recovery is forecast is based on the increased purchasing power, the decline in the total number of new residential units, the easing of mortgage market credit conditions (though