本文通过引入进口贸易、出口贸易两个对外贸易指标,基于VAR模型的脉冲响应函数法分析1993-2014年浙江省循环经济与进口贸易、出口贸易之间存在的长期动态的相关性。实证结果表明:浙江省循环经济对进口贸易长期具有显著的消极影响;循环经济对出口贸易有促进作用,但从长期来看,具有一定的负向效应;进口贸易对循环经济会产生负面影响,然而对循环经济长期存在较强的正向效应;出口贸易长期会积极推动循环经济,作出正向贡献。 In this paper, by introducing two foreign trade indicators of import trade and export trade, the impulse response function method based on VAR model was used to analyze the long-term dynamic correlation between recycling economy, import trade and export trade in Zhejiang Province from 1993 to 2014. The empirical results show that: the recycling economy in Zhejiang Province has a significant negative impact on import trade for a long time; the recycling economy has a promoting effect on export trade, but in the long run, it has a certain negative effect; the import trade has a negative impact on the recycling economy, However, there is a strong positive effect on circular economy for a long period of time. Export trade will actively promote circular economy and make a positive contribution in the long run.