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以1999年至2008年中国制造业20个分行业数据为样本构建面板模型,实证研究了FDI渗透与产业集聚的非线性关系,并进一步将所选行业按照技术水平进行分类,运用面板数据门限回归方法检验了FDI渗透的临界效应。结果表明:当FDI渗透率超过门限值时,FDI渗透率的提高对中低、中高和高技术行业集聚有显著的促进作用;当行业规模超过门限值时,FDI渗透率的提高对中低技术和高技术行业集聚有负向作用,但促进了中高技术行业的集聚;当劳动力成本超过门限值时,FDI渗透率的提高对不同技术水平的行业集聚在一定程度上都有促进作用。
This paper builds a panel model from 20 sub-industries in China’s manufacturing industry from 1999 to 2008, and empirically studies the non-linear relationship between FDI infiltration and industrial agglomeration, further classifies the selected industries according to technical level, and uses panel data threshold regression The method tests the critical effect of FDI penetration. The results show that when the penetration rate of FDI exceeds the threshold value, the increase of FDI penetration rate can significantly promote the concentration of low, medium and high-tech industries. When the scale of the industry exceeds the threshold value, The concentration of low-tech and high-tech industries has a negative effect, but promotes the agglomeration of high-tech industries. When the labor cost exceeds the threshold, the increase of FDI penetration can promote the agglomeration of industries with different technological levels to a certain extent .