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开发项目环境影响评价的目的之一在于就工程对环境的各种冲击作出预测。预测结果的可靠性取决于预测方法的科学性。水利工程的环境影响评价工作在我国开始不久,行之有效的适合我国实际工作的单因素预测评价和综合预测评价方法正在探索中。本文就实际工作中应用的几种单因素预测方法加以分析讨论。
One of the purposes of the environmental impact assessment of a development project is to predict the various impacts of the project on the environment. The reliability of forecasting results depends on the scientific nature of the forecasting method. The environmental impact assessment of water conservancy projects in our country started soon, effective single-factor prediction and evaluation methods suitable for China’s actual work are being explored. This article analyzes and discusses several kinds of single-factor prediction methods used in practical work.