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以2001~2011年中国大陆地区31个省份为基础样本库,考察了各省份实现GDP增速与预期目标之间的差距对其环境污染的影响,以及公众参与度与法制化程度的调节机制,得出以下研究结论:首先,各省份实现GDP增速与预期目标之间的差距和二氧化硫排放量存在一种倒“V”型的关系:当某省份实现GDP增速超出预期目标时,当前优良的绩效表现将导致当地政府与外界对该地区未来GDP增长有更高的期望,实际GDP增速高于预期目标程度越大,二氧化硫排放量越大;而当某省份未实现GDP增速预期时,实现GDP增速低于预期目标程度越大,二氧化硫排放量越大。其次,以环境为代价,短期内提高GDP增长的行为,可能受制于公众参与度和法制化程度的影响,相比公众参与度、法制化程度较低的省份,公众参与度、法制化程度较高的省份,GDP增速压力对环境污染的正向影响减弱,这表明公众参与政府环境决策和法制能对行政自由裁量权构成制约和监督,在一定程度上预防和遏制由于行政主管部门片面追逐GDP增长而带来的环境污染和破坏。
Taking the 31 provinces in mainland China from 2001 to 2011 as the basic sample base, this paper examines the impact of the gap between provincial GDP growth and the expected target on their environmental pollution, as well as the regulatory mechanism of the degree of public participation and the degree of legalization, The following conclusions are drawn: First, there is a “V” type relationship between the gap between GDP growth and the expected target of provinces and the emission of sulfur dioxide: When the province’s GDP growth rate exceeds the expected target, The current excellent performance will lead to the local government and the outside world on the future GDP growth in the region have higher expectations of real GDP growth is higher than expected, the greater the greater the sulfur dioxide emissions; and when a province did not achieve GDP growth As expected, the greater the lower-than-expected goal of achieving GDP growth, the greater will be sulfur dioxide emissions. Second, at the expense of the environment, the increase of GDP in the short term may be affected by the degree of public participation and the degree of legalization. Compared with the public participation and the less-regulated provinces, the degree of public participation and the degree of legalization In the high provinces, the positive impact of the pressure of GDP growth on environmental pollution weakened. This indicates that public participation in government environmental decision-making and legal system can constrain and supervise the administrative discretion, and to a certain extent, prevent and contain the unilateral chase by administrative departments Environmental pollution and destruction caused by GDP growth.