论文部分内容阅读
湖北省居长江中游,水资源丰富,但可持续利用仍然存在一些问题。以2010年为水平基准年,运用AHP层次分析法,对湖北省进行分区,建立指标体系,指标分别赋值、确定权重,对2020年的水资源开发利用的不同模式进行预测,计算出各个发展方案下湖北省分区水资源的可持续发展情况。结果表明,发展方案的不同,未来水资源可持续发展系数不同,可采取发展系数较大的发展方案,其中人口、人均GDP、农业耗水率是关系到水资源可持续发展的重要因子。
Hubei Province, the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, is rich in water resources, but there are still some problems in sustainable use. Taking 2010 as the base year for the horizontal analysis, AHP AHP method was used to divide the regions in Hubei Province, set up the index system, assign the indexes separately, determine the weights, predict the different modes of water resources development and utilization in 2020, and calculate each development scheme Sustainable Development of Water Resources in Hubei Province. The results show that different development programs have different coefficients of sustainable development of water resources in the future, and development plans with larger development coefficients may be adopted. Among them, population, GDP per capita and agricultural water consumption are important factors that affect the sustainable development of water resources.