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随着经济体制改革的持续深化,中国经济已步入新常态时期,如何辨识公共服务与新型城镇化发展的关联性成为一个重大的现实课题。文章构建了公共服务与城镇化质量的初始理论模型,借助公共服务基本指标体系,采用全局主成分分析法考察了大陆地区31个省、市、自治区的城镇化质量。通过建构回归面板模型探讨城镇化质量对城镇化进程和经济效益的关联影响,研究发现:在2005~2014年间,以公共服务为评价指标的城镇化质量呈现出东、中、西区域的“梯度式”下降趋势,但相邻板块的省、市、自治区却出现逆转之现象;城镇化质量对于城镇化进程及经济效益有着显著的正向关联影响,且滞后的长期效应大于当期效应。为此,文章提出了进一步优化城镇化质量的政策建议,以期促进公共服务供给与新型城镇化质量之间的良性互动。
With the continuous deepening of the reform of the economic system, the Chinese economy has entered a new normal period. How to identify the relevance of public services and the development of new urbanization has become a major practical issue. The article constructs the initial theoretical model of public service and urbanization quality. With the help of the basic index system of public service, the author uses global principal component analysis to examine the urbanization quality of 31 provinces, cities and autonomous regions in the mainland. Through the construction of regression panel model to explore the impact of urbanization quality on the process of urbanization and economic benefits, the study found that: from 2005 to 2014, the quality of urbanization with public service as the evaluation indicator showed the eastern, central and western regions However, the provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions in adjacent plates have the phenomenon of reversal. The quality of urbanization has a significant positive correlation with the process of urbanization and economic benefits, and the long-term effect of lag is greater than that of the current period. To this end, the article put forward some policy proposals to further optimize the quality of urbanization so as to promote the positive interaction between the supply of public services and the quality of new urbanization.