Scenario Analysis on the Adaptation of Different Maize Varieties to Future Climate Change in Northea

来源 :Journal of Meteorological Research | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:super_mouse
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
Based on gridded meteorological data for the period 1981–2100 from the RegCM3 regional model, the changing trends of climatic resources in Northeast China are analyzed, and the distributions of maize varieties are accordingly adjusted. In order to explore the effects of different adaptation countermeasures on climatic productivity and meteorological suitability in the future, maize cultivars with resistance to high temperatures and/or drought are selected. The results show that, in the future, there is likely to be a significant increase in thermal resources, and potential atmospheric evaporation will increase correspondingly.Meanwhile, radiation is predicted to increase significantly during 2041–2070 in the growing season. However, changes in precipitation are unlikely to be sufficient enough to offset the intensification in atmospheric evaporation caused by the temperature increase. Water resources and high temperatures are found to be the two major factors constraining grain yield. The results also show that the warming climate will be favorable for maize production where thermal resources are already limited, such as in central and northern Heilongjiang Province and eastern Jilin Province; while in areas that are already relatively warm, such as Liaoning Province, climatic productivity will be reduced. The climatic productivity and the meteorological suitability of maize are found to improve when the planting of resistant varieties is modeled. The utilization of agricultural climatic resources through the adaptation countermeasures of maize varieties is to increase obviously with time. Specifically, maize with drought-resistant properties will have a marked influence on meteorological suitability during 2011–2070, with suitable areas expanding. During 2071–2100, those maize varieties with their upper limit of optimum temperature and maximum temperature increased by 2℃, or water requirement reduced to 94%, or upper limit of optimum temperature and maximum temperature increased by 1℃ and water requirement reduced to 98%, all exhibit significant differences in climatic potential productivity, compared to the present-day varieties. The meteorological suitability of maize is predicted to increase in some parts of Heilongjiang Provine, with the eastern boundary of the “unavailable” area shifting westward. Based on gridded meteorological data for the period 1981-2100 from the RegCM3 regional model, the changing trends of climatic resources in Northeast China are analyzed, and the distributions of maize varieties are accordingly adjusted. In order to explore the effects of different adaptation countermeasures on climatic productivity and meteorological suitability in the future, maize cultivars with resistance to high temperatures and / or drought are selected. The results show that, in the future, there is likely to be a significant increase in thermal resources, and potential atmospheric evaporation will increase However, changes in precipitation are unlikely to be sufficient enough to offset the intensification inormaldehyde caused by the temperature increase. Water resources and high temperatures are found to be the two major factors constraining grain yie ld. The results also show that the warming climate will be favorable for maize production where thermal resources are already limited, such as in central and northern Heilongjiang Province and eastern Jilin Province; while in that areas are are relatively warm, such as Liaoning Province, The utilization of agricultural climatic resources through the adaptation of measures of maize varieties is to increase obviously with with time. maize with drought-resistant properties will have a marked influence on meteorological suitability during 2011-2070, with suitable areas expanding. 2071-2100, those maize varieties with their upper limit of optimum temperature and maximum temperature increased by 2 ℃, or water requirement reduced to 94%, or upper limit of optimum temperature and maxim um temperature increased by 1 ℃ and water requirement reduced to 98%, all exhibit significant differences in climatic potential productivity, compared to the present-day varieties. The meteorological suitability of maize is predicted to increase in some parts of Heilongjiang Provine, with the eastern boundary of the “unavailable ” area shifting westward.
其他文献
在系统功能语法中,介词被认为是“次要动词”,充当“次要过程”的功能成分。由于多数的介词词组在小句中充当状语成分,而包含of的介词短语大部分在名词词组中充当修饰语,所以
学位
在过去十年里,涌现出了大量关于高等教育市场化的研究,但这些研究大多聚焦于管理模式调整、行政实务、高校开设的课程以及学位变化等方面。本论文试图研究高等教育市场化过程在
学位
草莓畸形的主要类型有:僵化果、双身果与鸡冠果、裂果、白化果、空心草莓、草莓白腚等。僵化果僵化果表现为果实极小,口感差、木栓化、质地硬的生理成熟果。僵化原因:草莓植
近年来,有关概念隐喻在促进人类思维方面的认知语言学研究日益深入。其中也包括“战争”概念隐喻对人类思维模式影响的认知语言学研究。然而,现有多数研究虽然很深入,但多仍局限
学位
2006.3.25-2006.3.31培养造就高素质干部队伍的重大举措3月30日《人民日报》社论中共中央最近颁布了《干部教育培训工作条例(试行)》《条例》着眼于推进干部教育培训工作的科
学位
在大众传媒日益发展的今天,新闻已成为人们日常生活所必不可少的组成部分。随着各国不同文化之间的交流日益增多,新闻英语在人们交流中的位置也显得尤为重要。新闻翻译不可避免
学位
智能仪器(Intelligent Instrument)是当前仪器仪表技术发展的方向之一.在工农业生产和科学实验中发挥着十分重要的作用,发达国家很重视智能仪器的开发和研究,使得各领域应用
1995 年,22 岁的刘强从北京某大学计算机专业毕业后,没有按学校的安排回到中国西北部的一个研究所,而是留在了大学时打工的地方——北京中关村的一家小软件公司里继续他的编程的
广告是艺术与科学的完美结合。作为一种社会文化,它在现代商业和生活中表现得越来越活跃。广告语篇丰富多样、感染力强,显示出重要的研究价值。本文旨在对中外广告进行多模态
学位